Skip to main content
gamedev.net
🔒 Locked

The Separate Realities of Bush and Kerry Supporters

Started by Agony 21 replies 5.3k views
Original Post
Agony
Agony
Here is a more thorough update to a survey Etnu posted about a week ago, Interesting paper about the differences between Bush and Kerry supporters, if anyone is interested. Major points discusses are:
Quote:
1. Iraq, WMD and al Qaeda
Quote:
A large majority of Bush supporters believe that before the war Iraq had weapons of mass destruction or a major program for building them. A substantial majority of Bush supporters assume that most experts believe Iraq had WMD and that this was the conclusion of the recently released report by Charles Duelfer. A large majority of Bush supporters believes that Iraq was providing substantial support to al Qaeda and that clear evidence of this support has been found. A large majority believes that most experts also have this view, and a substantial majority believe that this was the conclusion of the 9/11 Commission. Large majorities of Kerry supporters believe the opposite on all these points.
2. What the Bush Administration is Saying About Pre-war Iraq
Quote:
Large majorities of Bush and Kerry supporters agree that the Bush administration is saying that Iraq had WMD and was providing substantial support to al Qaeda. In regard to WMD, these majorities are growing.
3. The Decision to Go to War
Quote:
Majorities of Bush supporters and Kerry supporters agree that if Iraq did not have WMD or was not providing support to al Qaeda, the US should not have gone to war with Iraq.
4. World Public Opinion on the Iraq War and George Bush’s Reelection
Quote:
Only three in ten Bush supporters believe that the majority of people in the world oppose the US going to war with Iraq, while an overwhelming majority of Kerry supporters have this view. A majority of Bush supporters assume that the majority of people in the world would like to see Bush reelected, while a large majority of Kerry supporters believe the opposite. Bush supporters also lean toward overestimating support in Islamic countries for US-led efforts to fight terrorism, while Kerry supporters do not.
5. Candidates’ Foreign Policy Positions
Quote:
Majorities of Bush supporters misperceive his positions on a range of foreign policy issues. In particular they assume he supports multilateral approaches and addressing global warming when he has taken strong contrary positions on issues such as the International Criminal court and the Kyoto Agreement. A majority of Kerry supporters have accurate perceptions of Kerry positions on the same issues.
I'm gonna be emailing this article to my mom (a Bush supporter in the heart of rural Indiana). I have no idea if she'll actually listen to it, or learn anything from it. She can still vote for Bush if she likes (not like it'll change Indiana's results either way), but hopefully she'll at least be a bit more informed. Good chance that she'd likely write it off as 100% bias, though. :/ It does sound somewhat biased, but at the same time, sounds relatively fair in its assessment. I mean, if a large group of people are indeed wrong, then calling them wrong is sometimes going to sound rather insulting, but it's still true. Of course, I haven't really read in depth any of the reports and such that everyone talks about. Heh, maybe I should. For all I know, this people doing this survey might be misinterpretting the conclusions of the reports, in the same way that they criticize Bush supporters of doing.
"We should have a great fewer disputes in the world if words were taken for what they are, the signs of our ideas nly, and not for things themselves." - John Locke o
Etnu
Etnu
I was just about to post this.

I'm still puzzled as to how so many people can believe that Iraq had WMDs, how many think they had ties to al Queada (or direct involvement in 9/11), and I was especially baffled by their false perceptions about what the rest of the world thinks.

I want these guys to do a survey on Saudi Arabia, personally -- just to see how far the disinformation can go.
---------------------------Hello, and Welcome to some arbitrary temporal location in the space-time continuum.
Etnu
Etnu
Oh, and as far as the reports go:

Having read all 3 reports in question, here's the conclusions I saw:

- The 9/11 commission found no collaborative relationship between Iraq and al Queada, saying that the closest thing to an alliance here was that there had been some talk in the past of working together on weapons programs, though that information predates the first Gulf War. Iraq provided no financial or other assistance to al Quada. A few years back, OBL labelled Saddam Huessein an infidel for his supposed lack of religious conviction, western style of dress, etc.

- Both weapons reports concluded that Saddam had no weapons prior to the war, and that everything he had before the Gulf War had been destroyed or siezed by the U.N. (500 tons of yellow cake and a few biological agents were in storage in U.N. facilities in Iraq -- facilities that were abandoned prior to the most recent war and now have unaccounted for inventories...). Both concluded that Saddam had not indicated a complete abandonement of his weapons programs, and would likely resume them once sanctions were lifted (of course, that's just speculation, and has a high likelyhood of being politically influenced).
---------------------------Hello, and Welcome to some arbitrary temporal location in the space-time continuum.
Agony
Agony
Yeah, I've been skimming the reports now, and that's sorta the impression I'm getting too. Some of it is a lot of reading though. I could try to summarize it for other people, or point them to other summaries that others more intelligent than me have made, but they likely wouldn't trust such summaries. Or I could point them to the reports themselves, but they'll probably just look at them, say, "They're big", and be satisfied with the already summarized propaganda that they currently believe. It's depressing. [depressed]
"We should have a great fewer disputes in the world if words were taken for what they are, the signs of our ideas nly, and not for things themselves." - John Locke o
Tron3k
Tron3k
Number 5 interests me greatly. It seems to point out that Bush would not hurt himself by supporting multilateral approaches. (In fact, he would almost certainly have a greater lead over Kerry if he did so.) And yet, he does so anyway. This is interesting behaviour for a politician. Does anyone have an idea about this?
“[The clergy] believe that any portion of power confided to me, will be exerted in opposition to their schemes. And they believe rightly: for I have sworn upon the altar of God, eternal hostility against every form of tyranny over the mind of man” - Thomas Jefferson
Agony
Agony
Quote:
Original post by Tron3k
Number 5 interests me greatly. It seems to point out that Bush would not hurt himself by supporting multilateral approaches. (In fact, he would almost certainly have a greater lead over Kerry if he did so.) And yet, he does so anyway. This is interesting behaviour for a politician. Does anyone have an idea about this?
It seems to me that Bush supporters who prefer multilateral approaches actually believe that he does support multilateral approaches. And Bush supporters who prefer US dominance and independence and such think that Bush indeed won't be a pansy and compromise by working with other nations. So he gets those who do basically agree with his methods, and he gets those who want to support him but would likely disagree with his methods in this area. Playing both sides, just like most politicians try to do to a certain extent. Keep as many people happy simultaneously as is possible. (Yes, I think Kerry does it too. Most politicians do. But it at least matches Kerry's world view a bit more appropriately, since his world view does tend to lean towards tolerance more so than Bush's.)
"We should have a great fewer disputes in the world if words were taken for what they are, the signs of our ideas nly, and not for things themselves." - John Locke o
Dreddnafious Maelstrom
Dreddnafious Maelstrom
Quote:
Original post by Tron3k
Number 5 interests me greatly. It seems to point out that Bush would not hurt himself by supporting multilateral approaches. (In fact, he would almost certainly have a greater lead over Kerry if he did so.) And yet, he does so anyway. This is interesting behaviour for a politician. Does anyone have an idea about this?


He actually does support a multilateral approach with N Korea, and he's being dogged for it.

So what exactly is the magic number that equals "multilateral"?

Its obviously greater than 40 countries.


The Volker report is going to demonstrate that the leaders of the anti-Iraqi invasion movement were simply protecting their ass from daylight regarding their corruption of the UN oil for food money.

When this all washes out, you will see that the containment strategy was crumbling, that France and many other countries were willfully breaking "international law" for back alley kickbacks.
Thus their opposition to the war.

You will also find that your so called "enilightened" view of the conflict was bought and paid for by unelected politicians from Brussels.

Now whether you'll ever cop to it is an entirely different question.
"Let Us Now Try Liberty"-- Frederick Bastiat
George2
George2
Quote:
Original post by Dreddnafious Maelstrom
Quote:
Original post by Tron3k
Number 5 interests me greatly. It seems to point out that Bush would not hurt himself by supporting multilateral approaches. (In fact, he would almost certainly have a greater lead over Kerry if he did so.) And yet, he does so anyway. This is interesting behaviour for a politician. Does anyone have an idea about this?


He actually does support a multilateral approach with N Korea, and he's being dogged for it.



Does Bush even have an approach for N. Korea ? It seems to me he's basicly ignoring them, while Kim Yong IL is bragging about his nukes.

Quote:

So what exactly is the magic number that equals "multilateral"?

Its obviously greater than 40 countries.

The Volker report is going to demonstrate that the leaders of the anti-Iraqi invasion movement were simply protecting their ass from daylight regarding their corruption of the UN oil for food money.

When this all washes out, you will see that the containment strategy was crumbling, that France and many other countries were willfully breaking "international law" for back alley kickbacks.
Thus their opposition to the war.

You will also find that your so called "enilightened" view of the conflict was bought and paid for by unelected politicians from Brussels.

Now whether you'll ever cop to it is an entirely different question.


So the reason for the invasion is now a crumbling containement strategy because of some corruption ? Well, why didn't you say so from the beginning ? We could have avoided al those discussions about WMD's, ties to al qaida, and al the other fake reasons to go to war.

What unelected politicians from Brussels are you talking about ?

Note that Chirac and Shroder reasons to oppose the invasion, probably weren't based on humanitarian reasons, but that does not change the fact that the reasons to go to war, were untrue (and probably lies)
"THE INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS REPORT IS CLASSIFIED; DO NOT GO TO FOX NEWS TO READ OR OBTAIN A COPY." , the pentagon
Tron3k
Tron3k
Quote:
Original post by Dreddnafious Maelstrom
Quote:
Original post by Tron3k
Number 5 interests me greatly. It seems to point out that Bush would not hurt himself by supporting multilateral approaches. (In fact, he would almost certainly have a greater lead over Kerry if he did so.) And yet, he does so anyway. This is interesting behaviour for a politician. Does anyone have an idea about this?


He actually does support a multilateral approach with N Korea, and he's being dogged for it.
I've heard that Bush involved China simply because he doesn't actually want to do anything about the N Korea problem. Having one on one talks means there is major pressure for something to actually get done. So I have thought about this issue.

Quote:
So what exactly is the magic number that equals "multilateral"?

Its obviously greater than 40 countries.


The Volker report is going to demonstrate that the leaders of the anti-Iraqi invasion movement were simply protecting their ass from daylight regarding their corruption of the UN oil for food money.

When this all washes out, you will see that the containment strategy was crumbling, that France and many other countries were willfully breaking "international law" for back alley kickbacks.
Thus their opposition to the war.

You will also find that your so called "enilightened" view of the conflict was bought and paid for by unelected politicians from Brussels.

Now whether you'll ever cop to it is an entirely different question.
Regarding this, I don't think that it matters to me why France and other countries didn't support the war. This doesn't affect whether it was a good decision to go to war or not. The only part I'm interested in is your statement that "the containment strategy was crumbling." I believe Etnu summarized this quite well:

Quote:
Oh, and as far as the reports go:

Having read all 3 reports in question, here's the conclusions I saw:

- The 9/11 commission found no collaborative relationship between Iraq and al Queada, saying that the closest thing to an alliance here was that there had been some talk in the past of working together on weapons programs, though that information predates the first Gulf War. Iraq provided no financial or other assistance to al Quada. A few years back, OBL labelled Saddam Huessein an infidel for his supposed lack of religious conviction, western style of dress, etc.

- Both weapons reports concluded that Saddam had no weapons prior to the war, and that everything he had before the Gulf War had been destroyed or siezed by the U.N. (500 tons of yellow cake and a few biological agents were in storage in U.N. facilities in Iraq -- facilities that were abandoned prior to the most recent war and now have unaccounted for inventories...). Both concluded that Saddam had not indicated a complete abandonement of his weapons programs, and would likely resume them once sanctions were lifted (of course, that's just speculation, and has a high likelyhood of being politically influenced).


From that, you can draw your own conclusions.
“[The clergy] believe that any portion of power confided to me, will be exerted in opposition to their schemes. And they believe rightly: for I have sworn upon the altar of God, eternal hostility against every form of tyranny over the mind of man” - Thomas Jefferson
Etnu
Etnu
Bush doesn't want to "do anything" about N. Korea because they have Nukes in close proximity to one of our largest trading partners and closest allies. We'd never invade a country that actually poses a threat.
---------------------------Hello, and Welcome to some arbitrary temporal location in the space-time continuum.
Tron3k
Tron3k
Quote:
Original post by Etnu
Bush doesn't want to "do anything" about N. Korea because they have Nukes in close proximity to one of our largest trading partners and closest allies. We'd never invade a country that actually poses a threat.
I don't mean to do something militarily, I mean by some other route, such as diplomatic pressure and sanctions.
“[The clergy] believe that any portion of power confided to me, will be exerted in opposition to their schemes. And they believe rightly: for I have sworn upon the altar of God, eternal hostility against every form of tyranny over the mind of man” - Thomas Jefferson
Dreddnafious Maelstrom
Dreddnafious Maelstrom
Linky to info regarding Hussein and Terror


if you mean specifically that Saddam's connection to UBL were tenuous, then ill stand down(though there is an argument to be made), if you mean that Saddam's involvement in the war on terror was tenuous, then you are clearly misinformed, or uninformed.


On the North Korea issue. We have involved not only China, but Japan and a few other major players in the region. We are trying to get other countries to look after their own best interest.(Specifically China because of their power and influence regarding NK)


The short version reasoning is that while NK may be willing to cheat the resolutions arrived at with the US, they will be less inclined to do so when China and their neighbors are involved.(i.e., common sense)
"Let Us Now Try Liberty"-- Frederick Bastiat
Tron3k
Tron3k
Quote:
Original post by Dreddnafious Maelstrom
Linky to info regarding Hussein and Terror


if you mean specifically that Saddam's connection to UBL were tenuous, then ill stand down(though there is an argument to be made), if you mean that Saddam's involvement in the war on terror was tenuous, then you are clearly misinformed, or uninformed.
You know UBL didn't like Saddam Hussein? Anyway, nobody doubts that Saddam Hussein supported terrorism, everybody knows that and always knew it. So what's your point? There are better ways to stop that than to invade his whole country.

Quote:
On the North Korea issue. We have involved not only China, but Japan and a few other major players in the region. We are trying to get other countries to look after their own best interest.(Specifically China because of their power and influence regarding NK)


The short version reasoning is that while NK may be willing to cheat the resolutions arrived at with the US, they will be less inclined to do so when China and their neighbors are involved.(i.e., common sense)
Hey, you can see it that way or you can see it my way. We'll see what actually works in the long run.
“[The clergy] believe that any portion of power confided to me, will be exerted in opposition to their schemes. And they believe rightly: for I have sworn upon the altar of God, eternal hostility against every form of tyranny over the mind of man” - Thomas Jefferson
Myopic Rhino
Myopic Rhino
Quote:
Original post by Dreddnafious Maelstrom
if you mean specifically that Saddam's connection to UBL were tenuous, then ill stand down(though there is an argument to be made), if you mean that Saddam's involvement in the war on terror was tenuous, then you are clearly misinformed, or uninformed.
I think that what confuses this issue is that for the typical American, terrorst == Al Qaeda/bin Laden. They're aware that other terrorists exist, but they really only care about the ones that attacked us on 9/11. So when someone says that Saddam did or didn't have ties to terrorists, what they hear is Saddam did or didn't have ties to Al Qaeda. Politicians haven't been particularly careful about how they talk about this issue, which I think is at least in part responsible for Bush supporters thinking that Saddam was involved in 9/11 (though I'd place most of the blame on statements made by Cheney and to a lesser extent Bush).
Etnu
Etnu
Quote:
Original post by Dreddnafious Maelstrom
Linky to info regarding Hussein and Terror


if you mean specifically that Saddam's connection to UBL were tenuous, then ill stand down(though there is an argument to be made), if you mean that Saddam's involvement in the war on terror was tenuous, then you are clearly misinformed, or uninformed.


On the North Korea issue. We have involved not only China, but Japan and a few other major players in the region. We are trying to get other countries to look after their own best interest.(Specifically China because of their power and influence regarding NK)


The short version reasoning is that while NK may be willing to cheat the resolutions arrived at with the US, they will be less inclined to do so when China and their neighbors are involved.(i.e., common sense)


The question never was whether he had links to terrorists; of course he did, every middle eastern leader does, most notably our great allies of Saudi Arabia and Pakistan. The main difference with Saddam is that he was only concerned with personal power, not hell-bent on just killing non-muslims like al Quada is. The fact remains that we went to war on 2 big premises: a.) Saddam Hussein has WMDs, and we can't take that risk after 9/11, b.) Saddam has ties to al Quada.

Both are false, and, as the study indicates, most people would not have supported the war if they knew they were false from the get go.
---------------------------Hello, and Welcome to some arbitrary temporal location in the space-time continuum.
desdemona74
desdemona74
"As the nation prepares to watch the presidential candidates debate foreign policy issues, a new PIPA-Knowledge Networks poll finds that Americans who plan to vote for President Bush have many incorrect assumptions about his foreign policy positions. Kerry supporters, on the other hand, are largely accurate in their assessments. Swing voters also tend to misperceive Bush’s positions, though to a smaller extent than Bush supporters, and to perceive Kerry’s positions correctly.

PIPA selected these questions from those asked in polls by the Chicago Council on Foreign Relations and dealt with issues on which the presidential candidates have taken clear and documented positions."

(skip to page 6 of document, there's an easy to read chart)
http://www.pipa.org/OnlineReports/Pres_Election_04/Report09_29_04.pdf
Etnu
Etnu
You do realize that what you just linked to is included in this report, right?
---------------------------Hello, and Welcome to some arbitrary temporal location in the space-time continuum.
desdemona74
desdemona74
Quote:
Original post by Etnu
You do realize that what you just linked to is included in this report, right?


oops. I didn't read the whole report word for word, and I didn't click on the original link in this thread, just read the quotes.

btw, how do you add a link under the guise of a different title and your mouse'll automatically guide you to the web page? (please answer) I know, as I'm on this page, I should have some kind of knowledge. But the truth is I found this page due to the interesting conversation, not 'cause I know anything about computers. Go ahead, laugh. I'll take my lumps.
Dreddnafious Maelstrom
Dreddnafious Maelstrom
Quote:
Original post by Myopic Rhino
Quote:
Original post by Dreddnafious Maelstrom
if you mean specifically that Saddam's connection to UBL were tenuous, then ill stand down(though there is an argument to be made), if you mean that Saddam's involvement in the war on terror was tenuous, then you are clearly misinformed, or uninformed.
I think that what confuses this issue is that for the typical American, terrorst == Al Qaeda/bin Laden. They're aware that other terrorists exist, but they really only care about the ones that attacked us on 9/11. So when someone says that Saddam did or didn't have ties to terrorists, what they hear is Saddam did or didn't have ties to Al Qaeda. Politicians haven't been particularly careful about how they talk about this issue, which I think is at least in part responsible for Bush supporters thinking that Saddam was involved in 9/11 (though I'd place most of the blame on statements made by Cheney and to a lesser extent Bush).



Fair enough, but in all fairness the concept is not difficult to grasp(even for the average American [smile]). We dubbed it the war on terror, not the war on Al-Qaeda/UBL.

Even "The War on Terror" is a misnomer, in that the action is really a war against Islamic-Facism. Not only the actual foot soldiers, but their generals, collaberators, and places of refuge.

Now if you want to argue that the scope of this response is over zealous or over reaching, then that is fine. it is debatable.

But if you believe that the war most be fought in a comprehensive manner, using the edge of the sword and not the blunt pommel, then all that has followed will make sense to you.(note here, i am not putting forth that we have performed flawlessly, there is always room for improvement)

The counter to this argument is that we are creating more potential "terrorists" than we are attriting. According to every valid metric for human behaviour, increasing the risk while reducing the pay-off is a sure fire way to reduce a specific actions instances.

If marijuana carried a mandatory death sentence for mere possession, and you only got half as "high" as you used to, you may very well never touch the stuff again(just an example, you know im for decriminalization)


As a country, we have propped up M.E. dictators for convenience, for security, for stability, and for lucrative oil contracts. of these benefits sought we received only the latter.

In this action we seek to undo some of the mistakes of our past, other nations are happy with the status quo, invested heavily in the status quo, without the encumbrance of being the ultimate target of the facists.

It seems to me that every idealistic liberal minded person in the world would embrace the replacement of tyranny for self determination, but my old liberal allies have seldom failed to dissapoint me in this respect.(less my boy Hitchens of course. [smile]
"Let Us Now Try Liberty"-- Frederick Bastiat
trzy
trzy
Quote:
Original post by Tron3k
Quote:
Original post by Etnu
Bush doesn't want to "do anything" about N. Korea because they have Nukes in close proximity to one of our largest trading partners and closest allies. We'd never invade a country that actually poses a threat.
I don't mean to do something militarily, I mean by some other route, such as diplomatic pressure and sanctions.


There is no military solution here. Progress is being made peacefully; for example, I recently read that South Korea is creating a manufacturing center across the DMZ in Kaeson, North Korea which will primarily employ North Koreans in South Korean factories. Despite the fact that the workers will earn a pathetic fraction of what their South Korean (and even Chinese) counterparts do, this is still a positive step forward in relations between the 2 countries.

So to those of you here who have been considering (and even advocating) a "tough" approach to NK: In your face, bitches!
----Bart

Topic Locked

This topic has been locked by a moderator. New replies are not allowed.

Sign in to reply to this topic.