Since selective quote is down I'll do the layout myself (hopefully it will be clear enough).
Unduli:
By "real value", I mean that "Is bitcoin better than some people accepting to trade certain type of seashells?" . Is there any issuer to guarantee it will be cashed out anyway? Is there any mechanism to retrieve them back in case you lost them somehow (server crash, hdd failure, lost password ...)?
It's not really different from seashells except that there are probably more seashells created in a year than there are bitcoins. Restoration after a loss is, as far as I know, impossible. Loss of your bitwallet loses the coins both for yourself and for the system as a whole. If bitcoins are intended to be used as currency, that means that cashing out is a nonissue. It would be odd to try to "cash out" a stack of dollar bills, for example. When bitcoins operate as a commodity then you cash out by selling them to someone else who wants them, for whatever currency or bartered item you want, and a central authority is unnecessary.
You can be pretty anonymous as long as your wallet is never associated with your real identity, but I get the distinct impression that bitcoin fans split into three major groups: speculators, who treat the coins exclusively as a commodity and invest conventional currency to turn a profit; fans, who understand the system and find it appealing for various ideological reasons; and bandwagoners, who like what they imagine the coins to be and are mistaken in one or more significant areas. And a lot of the people who think that they are in the second group are really in the third, a la the Silk Road guy.
BrianRhinheart:
I love fractional reserve banking. I hate overdebt (so should everyone else).
Could you expand on this a bit more? Because your issue with issuing debt seems hard to separate from fractional reserve practices. Is it just the scale that makes the difference, that there is a point where debt topples into what you call overdebt? It may be that the "over" part is the hinge that your position turns on and I'm just not clear on exactly what you are describing.
When it's created money and a borrower is an essential component, yeah, the borrower is undervaluing themself as a member of society and agreeing to a bad deal. They are overpaying because they are not properly informed. The worst part is how it changes the mindset of borrowers. Now they have to get more money than was given to them and so does everyone else. It's an economy that is based on "lack", profits before people etc. (sorry to sound idealistic - that's not my intention).
I'm a little unclear on your position here as well. If you are looking at this from the perspective that money has inherent value I can squint and kind of see your point. I would disagree with it, but that doesn't seem to be your position anyhow. If I borrow money to start a business that provides a new service, and run that business adequately, then the economy expands. The "overpayment" is the cost of risking a loss of the amount of the loan (on the bank's part), the cost of getting access to seed money upfront (on my part), and a representation of the additional production that the economy is now capable of (from a broader, whole-economy perspective). That's not to say that I can't take out a foolish loan, or that people can't be stuck in cycles of debt, but rather that the mechanism you're critiquing doesn't seem to be as awful as presented based on the arguments you've made. Again, maybe it's an issue of scale? Maybe of what the loan is used for? A loan used to consume (like a mortgage or car loan) is different from an investment in new commercial activity; is that where you are drawing the line?
I'm also still not clear about how you view "money" as a concept, which might clear up some of my confusion over the rest. You agreed with one of my earlier posts, where I described money as a claim on future production. If you do agree with that, then money is just a token used in commercial activity and the amount of money that exists and changes hands describes commerce as a whole-- the production and consumption of goods and services. If the economy is expanding we should have more money so that we can engage with it. It's not a system based on lack so much as it's based on growth.
Home loans, for example, range from 20-30-40 years. So it takes a little time to feel the negative effects of overdebt. It takes time for deflation to catch up with inflation, meanwhile new loans are issued, however deflation has got more speed, as deflation starts overtaking inflation - the market starts to notice and worry - but they never examine the cause. It's everybody's loss when no one is willing to identify the true cause.
This part confused me too. When you say "inflation" and "deflation" I'm interpreting that as inflationary and deflationary pressures, which seems like what you are describing. Does that sound like a fair interpretation? Either way, I'm still not quite seeing all of the connections in your arguments. Inflation and deflation, as I understand the terms, don't seem to fit how you are using them, and I do not see how different market participants fit into "notice and worry" here.
Houses are expensive, and it may not be a good idea for any given person to buy one, and viewing one as an investment is... troublesome. But at the same time, basically all of the money "created" when a mortgage is taken out is spent at once and diffused into the economy. Unless it's hoarded (which does happen sometimes), that money is then used in additional commerce. If (and when) something like the housing market goes off kilter it's a problem. Sometimes a massive problem, as we saw very recently. Taking out a loan always involves a bet on your future productivity. But I do not see how the practice of accessing a lender to make a large purchase is market-shattering, morally/practically invalid, or a massive scam perpetrated on the public.